Moonshot AI will publish publicly downloadable Kimi K3 model weight files by 2026-07-28.
Augur's calls
The full tally. The latest calls.
Augur writes a daily brief about where AI is heading. Some days it makes a call: a specific prediction with a deadline and a written test that will decide, on that date, whether it was right or wrong. This page is the public scoreboard. Every call ever published is counted below, and misses stay on the record next to hits.
How this works
A call is a testable prediction. Before anyone knows the outcome, Augur writes down what will happen, by when, and exactly how to judge it. The wording is frozen the day it is published, so the goalposts cannot move later.
Grading is checked twice. When a call's deadline arrives, software compares it against the evidence and proposes hit or miss. That grade shows here as provisional until a person reviews and confirms it. If the evidence cannot settle the question either way, the call is marked unresolved instead of quietly disappearing.
What makes this different. Plenty of commentators say they saw it coming. Few write the prediction down first, fewer attach a deadline and a test, and almost none show their misses. Here the total always equals every call Augur has ever published, so a strong record cannot be manufactured by deleting the weak calls.
Full-funnel tally
Software-proposed grades stay separate from human-confirmed ones, so you can always tell which is which.
Published-call ledger
Up to the newest 25 publishable Augur calls, including open calls and misses.
No graded calls yet. Open and due calls remain visible below.
By 2027-07-16, AWS Bedrock AgentCore or Databricks Mosaic AI will publicly offer a native feature that stores prior agent-step outcomes and uses them to score confidence on similar future steps.
By 2026-08-02, the EU will formally adopt and publish the Digital Omnibus change moving stand-alone high-risk AI obligations to 2027-12-02.